Weak User Counts Signal ‘Panic Sell’ For Most Cryptocurrency Tokens: Researcher



Cryptocurrency warning fire alarm

Last week, cryptocurrency researcher Kevin Rooke questioned the ability of Ethereum and EOS to support decentralized applications (dApps), given the dearth of users on those blockchains.

Now he’s wondering if most cryptocurrencies are getting enough use. He recently observed in a tweet that only 27 cyrptocurrency tokens had 400 or more active users in a 24-hour period, commenting, “You’d think if ever a time to ‘buy the tip’ or ‘panic the sell,’ it would be today.”

Rooke’s tweet generated a barrage of comments, some believing he raised a valid point, but many questioning the importance of his observation and some questioning the data he based it on.

Rooke compiled an index of cryptocurrencies with 400 or more active addresses in a 24-hour period on Sept. 5, as listed on the OnChainFX cryptocurrency research website.

His index focuses on a metric that reflects the extent to which cryptos are used for transactions, a feature that was one of bitcoin’s primary purposes.

And in comparing Rooke’s index to the currencies’ 24-hour volumes, there was a fair amount of correspondence. Bitcoin and Ethereum led both lists, for example, but there were some discrepancies.

User Counts Versus Transaction Volume

Number three on Rooke’s index was Dogecoin, with 135,222 active addresses in the 24-hour period. Dogecoin’s 24-hour volume, however, was just under $37 million, below that of 16 other cryptos: XRP, Bitcoin Cash, EOS, Stellar, Litecoin, Tether, Cardano, IOTA, Dash, TRON, NEO, Ethereum Classic, Zcash, Ontology, Qtum and Bytom.

The disparity isn’t based on an “apples to apples” comparison, as Rooke’s index shows the number of users making transactions as opposed to transaction volume. But at the same time, the fact that XRP did not appear on Rooke’s index when it accounted for more than $227 million in 24-hour volume raised questions. According to OnChainFX, XRP showed “no data” for 24-hour active addresses.

Data Incomplete

When one tweeter pointed out that OnChainFX shows no active XRP users, Rooke said XRP has other data missing as well, and postulated that some of the data cannot be gathered on the XRP ledger.

BitShares, which did close to $9 million in 24-hour volume, also registered “no data” for active addresses on OnChainFX and does not appear on Rooke’s index. The same was true for Steem, which did close to $8 million in 24-hour volume.

Binance Coin did not make Rooke’s index either, as it only posted 271 active users according to OnChainFX, but it accounted for $19.247 million in 24-hour volume. NEM also failed to make the index, as OnChainFX didn’t list it at all, while the crytpocurrency registered $12.563 million in 24-hour volume.

Conversely, PIVX, ranking number 17 on Rooke’s index with 2,971 active users, only did $238,709 in 24-hour volume, and Vertcoin, number 18 on the index with 2,336 active users, did $241,649 in 24-hour volume.

Also read: Ethereum and EOS only have 8 dApps combined with 300+ active users

Observers Raise Questions

bitcoin

Observers raised additional questions about the index on Twitter.

One pointed out that KMD had more than 1,000 active addresses for the day. KMD, which could not be found in the OnChainFX database, has a market cap of $127.847 million and more than $1 million in 24-hour volume.

Another claimed the list does not contain NX or TUBE and that both have more than 400 active wallets, demonstrating the incompleteness of Rooke’s index. (Neither were found on CoinMarketCap)

Another questioned the relevance of Rooke’s index since OnChainFX only indexes 107 out of thousands of cryptocurrencies, many of which have active user bases, to which Rooke responded that the ones on the index include the big cryptos, and claimed many coins don’t even approach the 400 number.

One observer suggested that a time frame longer than 24 hours might better reflect user activity.

Another compared the plethora of cryptocurrencies to all the pre-Google internet search engines.

Images from Shutterstock

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